National P.G. College, Lucknow

Theory and Practical Papers in each Semester

( Department of Statistics )

BA / B.Sc

 

 

Semester 1

 

Paper I       : ( S101 )     Probability

Paper II      : ( S102 )     Statistical Methods

 

Semester II

 

Paper I       : ( S201 )     Probability distributions and Numerical Analysis

Paper II      : ( S202 )     Practicals

 

Semester III

 

Paper I       : ( S301 )     Statistical Inference

Paper II      : ( S302 )     Analysis of Variance and Design of Experiment

 

Semester IV

 

Paper I       : ( S401 )     Survey Sampling

Paper II      : ( S402 )     Practicals

 

Semester V

 

Paper I       : ( S501 )     Non – parametric Methods and Regression Analysis

Paper II      : ( S502 )     Quality Control and Economic Statistics

Paper III    : ( S503 )     Practicals

 

Semester VI

 

Paper I       : ( S601 )     Applied Statistics      

Paper II      : ( S602 )     Operations Research

Paper III    : ( S603 )     Practicals

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER I  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

( S101)

 

Paper I  : Probability

 

 

UNIT – 1

 

Random experiment, trial point and sample point and sample space, events operation of events, concepts of equally likely, mutually exclusive and exhaustive events.

 

Definition of probability : Classical, relative frequency and axiomatic approaches. Discrete probability space, properties of probability under set theoretic approach. Independence of events, Conditional probability, total and compound probability theorems, Bayes theorem and its applications.

 

UNIT – II

 

Random variables -  discrete and continuous, probability mass function ( pmf ) and probability density function (pdf), Cumulative distribution function (cdf). Joint distribution of two random variables, marginal and conditional distributions.

 

UNIT – III

 

Independence of random variables. Expectation of a random variable (rv) and its properties, expectation of sum of random variables and product of independent random variables, conditional expectation.

 

UNIT – IV

 

Moments, moment generating functions ( m.g.f.) and their properties, continuity theorem for m.g.f. ( without proof ). Chebyshev’s inequality. Weak law of large numbers and Central Limit Theorem for a sequence of independently and identically distributed random variables and their applications.

 

References  :

 

  1. Parzen, E.S. : Modern Probability Theory and its Applications.
  2. Meyer, P. : Indroductry Probability and Statistical Applications.
  3. Stirzekar  David ; (1994 ) : Elementry Probability, Cambridge University Press.
  4. Mood A.M., Graybill F.A. and Bose D.C. : Introduction to the theory of Statistics, McGraw Hill.

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER I  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

 

( S102)

Paper II  : Statistical Methods

 

UNIT -1

 

Concept of statistical population, Attributes and variables ( discreete and Continuous ). Different types of scales – nominal, ordinal, ratio and interval. Primary data – designing a questionnaire and schedule, collection of primary data, checking their consistency. Secondary data. Scrutiny of data for internal consistency and detection of errors of recording. Ideas of cross validation . Presentation of data : classification, tabulation, diagrammatic representation of grouped data. Frequency distributions, cumulative frequency distributions and their graphical representations, histogram, frequency polygon and ogives. Stem and leaf plot. Box Plot.

 

UNIT – II

 

Measure of central tendency and dispersion, merits and demerits of these measures. Moments and factorial moments. Shephard’s correction for moments. Skewness and Kurtosis and their Measures. Measures based on quartiles. Bivariate data, Method of least squares for curve fitting.

 

UNIT – III

 

Correlation and regression, rank Correlation ( Spearman’s and Kendall’s measure ), Intra-class correlation, correlation ratio. Partial and Multiple Correlation & Multiple Regression for Tri-variate data.

 

UNIT - IV

 

Attributes – Notion and terminology, contingency table, class frequencies and ultimate class frequencies , consistency. Association of attributes, Independence, Measure of association for 2x2 table. Chi-square, Karl Pearson’s and Tschuprow’s coefficient of association. Contingency tableswith ordered categories.

References :

 

  1. A.M. Goon, M.K. Gupta &  B.Dasgupta : Fundamental of Statistics. Vol. 1. The World Press Private Ltd.
  2. Yule, G.U. and Kendall, M.G. : An Introduction to the Theory of Statistics. Charles Griffin & Co. ltd.
  3. C.E. Weatherburn : Mathematical Statistics

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER II  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

(S201)

Paper I  : Probability distributions and Numerical Analysis

 

UNIT- I

 

Univariate distributons : Binomial, Poission, Hypergeometric, Geometric and Negative Binomial. Uniform ( discrete & contineous ), Normal, Exponential, Gamma, Beta distributions. Cauchy,Normal and poisson distributions as limiting case of binomial distribution and practical applications.

 

UNIT – II

 

Distributions of function of random variables : Distribution of sum, product and quotient of two Variable. Reproductive property of standard distributions. Chi-square, t and F distributions ( Central cases only ) and their and their limiting forms. Bivariate normal distribution and its properties.

 

UNIT – III

 

Calculus of finite differences, operators, seperation of symbols, examples and problems.

Interpolation formulas with remainder term. Newton’s forward and forward and backward formulae. Central difference formulae, Newton’s divide difference formulae for interpolation. Lagrange’s interpolation formulae.

 

UNIT – IV

 

Numerical Integration : Derivation of general quadrature formula for equidistant ordinates. Derivation of trapezoidal, Simpson’s 1/3rd and 3/8th rules. Weddle’s rule. Real roots of a numerical equation by method of iteration.

 

References :

 

  1. Parzen, E.S. : Modern Probability Theory and Its Applications.
  2. Meyer, P. : Introductory Probability and Statistical Applications.
  3. Scarborough : Numerical Analysis.
  4. S.S. Sastry : Introductory Methods of Numerical Analysis ; Prentice Hall of India Pvt. Ltd.
  5. Freeman : Finite Differences.
  6. Jain, M.K., Iyengar, SRK and Jain R.K. : Numerical Methods For Scientific And Engineering Computations ; NEW AGE International (P) Ltd.

 

 

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER II  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

( S202 )

 

Paper II  : List of Practical Experiments

 

 

  1. Graphical representation of data by Histogram, Frequency Polygons, Frequency  Curves and Ogives. Stem and leaf Plot, Box Plot.
  2. Calculation of measures of location.
  3. Calculation of measures of dispersion.
  4. Calculation of moments, measures of skewness and measures of Kurtosis.
  5. Fitting of curves by method of least squares.
  6. Determination of regression lines and calculation of correlation coefficient – grouped and ungrouped data.
  7. Calculation of correlation ratios, rank and intra – class correlation coefficients.
  8. Calculation of multiple and partial correlation coefficients for three variables.
  9. Construction of Index numbers.
  10. Calculation of measures of association in contigency tables.
  11. Construction of forward difference tables and divide difference tables.
  12. Interpolation by Newton’s forward difference formula for equal intervals and calculation of error.
  13. Interpolation by Newton’s divide difference formula for unequal intervals. Calculation of error.
  14. Interpolation by Lagrange’s formula for unequal intervals. Calculation of error.
  15. Approximate integration  ( Trapezoidal rule, Simpson’s  one-third rule, Simpspon’s three-eighth rule ), Weddle’s rule.
  16. Real roots of numerical equation by method of iteration.

 

All practical would be done in MS-Word & MS – Excel.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER  III  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

( S301 )

 

Paper I  :  Statistical Inference

 

UNIT – I

 

Point estimation .  Requirements of a good estimator : Unbiasedness , consistency, sufficiency and efficiency. Method of maximum likelihood and properties of Maximum likelihood estimators ( without proof ). Method of minimum Chi-square . Method of Least squares and methods of moments for estimation of parameters . Problems and examples.

 

UNIT – II

 

Sufficient Statistics, Cramer- Rao inequality  and its use in finding MVU estimators. Statistical Hypothesis ( simple and composite ). Testing of hypothesis. Type I and Type II errors, significance level, p-values, power of a test. Definitions of Most Powerful ( MP), Uniformly Most Powerful ( UMP ) and Uniformly Most Powerful Unbiased (UMPU) tests.

 

UNIT – III

 

Neyman – Pearson’s lemma and its applications for finding most powerful tests for simple hypothesis against simple alternative. Tests based on t, F and distributions.

 

UNIT - IV 

 

Likelihood ratio tests and their reduction to standard tests. Large sample tests, variance – stabilizing transformations. Interval estimation, Pivotal quantity and its use in finding confidence intervals, concept of best confidence intervals.

 

Reference :

 

1.                  Hogg &Craig : Mathematical Statistics.

2.                  Mood, Graybill and Boes : Introduction to the theory of Statistics.

3.                  Goon, Gupta and Dasgupta : Fundamentals of Statistics Vol. I  &  II

 

 

 

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER  III  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

 

( S302 )

 

 

Paper II :  Analysis of Variance and Design of Experiment

 

UNIT – I

 

Analysis of Variance ( with fixed effects model ). One way classification. Assumptions regarding model. Two way classification with equal number of observations per cell . Duncan’s multiple comparison test. Analysis of covariance – concept and definition.

 

UNIT – II

 

Principles of Design of experiments : Randomization , Replication and local control. Choice of size and type of a plot using uniformity trials. CRD, Randomized block design. Concept and definition of efficiency of design. Comparison  of efficiency between CRD and RBD.

 

UNIT - III

 

Latin square Design, Lay-out , ANOVA table. Comparison of efficiencies between LSD and RBD; LSD and CRD. Missing plot technique : estimation of missing plots by minimizing error sum of squares in RBD and LSD with one or two missing observations.

 

UNIT - IV

 

Factorial Experiments : general description of factorial experiments; 2,2 and 2 factorial experiments arranged in RBD . Definition of main effects and interactions in 2 and 2 factorial experiments. Preparation of ANOVA by Yates procedure. Estimates and tests for main and interaction effects ( Analysis without confounding).

 

Reference :

 

1Cochran and Cox : Experimental Design

 

1                   Kempthorne : Design of Experiments

2                   Federer : Experimental Design

3                   Goon, Gupta and Dasgupta : Fundamentals of Statistics, Vol. II

 

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER  IV  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

 

( S401 )

 

Paper I : Survey Sampling

 

UNIT – 1

 

Sampling Vs complete enumeration : sampling units and frame. Precision and efficiency of estimators. Simple Random sampling with and without replacement. Use of random number tables in selection of simple random sample. Estimation of population mean and proportion. Derivation of expression for variance of these estimators. Estimation of variances. Sample size determination.

 

UNIT - II

 

Stratified random sampling. Problem of allocation, proportional allocation, optimum allocation. Derivation of the expressions for the standard errors of the usual estimators when these allocations are used. Gain in precision due to stratification. Role of sampling cost in the sample allocation.  Minimization of variance for fixed cost. Systematic sampling : estimation of population mean and population total, standard errors of these estimators.

 

UNIT - III 

 

Regression and ratio methods of estimation in simple random sampling. Cluster sampling with equal and unequal clusters. Estimators of population mean and their mean square error.

 

UNIT – IV

 

Double sampling in ratio method of estimation. Two- stage sampling with equal first stage units : estimator of population mean and its variance, Multi - stage sampling with examples ( definition only ). Non- sampling errors.

 

Reference :

 

1                    Cochran, W. G.: Sampling Techniques

2                    Sukhatme, Sukhatme, Sukhatme & Asok: Sampling Theory of Surveys with applications.

3                    Murthy, M.N. : Sampling Theory

 

 

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER  IV  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

 

 

( S402 )

                                    

Paper II : List of Practical Experiments

 

1        Fitting of Binomial, Poisson and Normal distributions to observed data and testing of goodness of fit.

2        Testing of independence of attributes in m x n contingency table and calculation of measures of association.

3        t – test for (i )= ( ii ) = ( iii ) ( iv ) ( v )

(vi )  = 0

4        F-test for ( i )  = ( ii ) = 0

5        Fisher’s Z – transformation and its use in testing  ( i )  =  ( ii ) =   ( iii) = = …=   

6        Calculation of power curve for testing H :  = against H :  for a normal distribution with known variance.

7        Large sample tests.

8        Analysis of variance in one-way and two-way classification ( with and without interaction terms ) with fixed effects.

9        Analysis of  CRD, RBD and LSD.

10    Analysis of  CRD, RBD and LSD  with one or two missing observations.

11    Drawing a simple random sample with the help of table of random numbers.

12    Estimation of population means and variance in simple random sampling.

13    Stratified random sampling for population mean [ proportional and optimum (Neyman  case ) allocation  ] .

14    Ratio and regression methods of  estimation of population mean and total.

15    Factorial Experiment ( 2 and 2 only ).

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER  V  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

 

( S501 )

 

Paper I : Non – parametric Methods and Regression Analysis

 

UNIT – 1

 

Multivariate normal distribution, marginal and conditional distribution, Moment generating and Characteristics functions of multivariate normal distribution, Maximum likelihood estimation of mean vector and co-variance matrix of multivariate normal distribution. . Distribution of linear combination of components of multi normal variate.

 

UNIT – II

 

Order Statistics. Distributions of minimum, rth and maximum order statistic. Joint distribution of rth and sth order statistics ( in continuous case ) Distribution of sample range & sample median, for uniform and exponential distributions. Confidence interval of quantiles of order p.

 

UNIT - III 

 

Non – parametric tests – tests for randomness and test for goodness of fit. One sample tests : sign test, Wilcoxon signed rank tests. Two sample tests : run  test, Kolmogorov – Smirnov’s test. Median test and Mann – Whitney U test. Mood tests and Sukhatme test for scale parameter, Spearman’s rank correlation test, Kurskall – Wallis Test.

 

UNIT – IV

 

Linear regression model of full rank, Least squares theory. Estimation of parameters – OLSE and MLE of  and test of hypothesis. R and adjusted R. ANOVA table for regression.

 

Reference :

 

1                  Mood, A.M., Graybill and Bose D.C. : Introduction to the theory of Statistics.

1                    Gibbons, J.D. : Non – parametric statistical inference.

2                    Conover, W.J. : Practical Non-parametric Statistics

3                    David, H.A. : Order Statistics

4                    Johnston : Econometric Methods

5                    Anderson : Introduction to Multivariate Statistical Analysis, Chaps 1,2,& 3

 

 

 

 

National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER V  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

( S 502 )

 

Paper II : Quality Control and Economic Statistics

 

UNIT - I

 

 Time series : Definition,   components of time series ,  additive and multiplicative models, measurement of trend, measurements of seasonal fluctuations, measurement of cyclical fluctuations, Variate difference method. Idea of Periodogram and correlogram.

 

UNIT - II

 

 Index number : Definition ,  price relative and quanitity or volume relatives. Problems in the construction of index number, use of averages , simple aggregative and weighted average method . laspeyre’s , Paasche’s Marshall Edgeworth Fisher’s index number. Tests for index numbers -  time and factor reversal tests of index number . Chain index  , Cost of living index number,  Use of index number and limitations of index numbers.

 

UNIT - III

 

Quality of a product , need for quality  control, Process and Product control,

General theory of control charts, Causes of variation in quality. Control, specification and tolerance limits. Control chart for the attributes : p- chart, np – chart, c – chart, u – chart. Chart for variables : chart for average, range and standard deviation, modified control charts, group control charts, CUSUM charts.

 

UNIT - 1V

 

Sampling inspection by attributes – single and double sampling plans. Producer’s and consumer’s risk, OC, ASN, ATI functions AOQL and LTPD of sampling plans. Sampling inspection by variables -  simple cases.

 

References :

 

1                    Montgomery D.C. : Introduction to Statistical Quality Control.

2                    Burr : Industrial Quality Control

3                    Wetherill & Brown ; Statistical Quality Control

4                    Siya Ram : Applied Statistics

5                    Goon, Gupta and Dasgupta : Fundamental of Statistics ( Vol.  II )

 

 

 

National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER  V ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

( S503 )

 

 

 Paper III : Staistics Practical : Practicals  based on   Non Parametric tests, Time Series, Index Numbers and Quality Control with reference to the syllabus mentioned in S -- 501 and S – 502.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER VI  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

( S601 )

 

Paper I :  Applied Statistics

 

UNIT - 1

 

Educational statistics : Scaling procedures – Scaling of test items, test scores, rating of qualitative answers and judgements. Test theory, Linear model of test theory, paraller tests, true score, error variance, tetra – choric, bi- serial and point bi- serial correlation coeeficient.

 

UNIT - II

 

Reliability : Definition, methods of estimating reliability,  Test length, effect of test length on the reliability of a test. Validity of a test : Its definition, various types of Validities and their measurements.

 

UNIT - III

 

Vital Statistics  Methods : Methods of obtaining Vital statistics -  census, register, ad-hoc survey, hospital records. Measurement of mortality -  crude, specific and standardized death rates, infant mortality rates, death rate by cause, age specific death rates,  complete life table, its main features and construction. Measurement of fertility – crude birth rate, general fertility rate, age specific fertility rate, total fertility rate, gross reproduction rate and net reproduction rate.

 

UNIT -  IV

 

Demand Analysis – Demand and Supply , Law of Demand and Supply,  Price elasticity of demand, Price elasticity of Supply, Partial elasticities of demand, types of data required for estimating elasticities, Pigous’s method.  Engel’s curve and Engel’s law. Income elasticity of demand.

 

Reference :

 

1                    Croston F.E. and Cowden D.J. : Applied General Statistics

2                    Goon, Gupta and Dasgupta : Fundamentals of Statistics, ( Vol. I & II )

3                    Siya Ram : Applied Statistics

4                    Garrett H.E. : Statistics in Psychology and Education

5                    Guilford J.P. : Fundamental Statistics in Psychology and Education.

6                    Spiegelman M : Introduction to Demography 

 

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER  VI ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

( S602 )

 

Paper II : Operations Research

 

UNIT – I

 

General linear programming problems and their formulations. Methods for solving LPP : Graphical Method, Simplex method , Big- M method, Two phase Method Duality in LPP.

 


UNIT – II

 

Transportation problem: North – west corner rule, Least cost method, Vogel’s approximation method. Optimum solution : Stepping stone method, Method of Multipliers. Assignment Problem :Hungarian Algorithm.

.

UNIT – III

 

Queueing  Methods – M/M/1, M/M/C models waiting time distribution for M/M/1, Little’s formulae.

 

Project Management: PERT/CPM determination of floats construction of time chart and resources labeling.

 

 

UNIT – IV

 

Theory of Games – Two- Person Zero – Sum Games, Pure Strategies ( Minimax and Maximin Principles ) : Games With Saddle Point, Mixed Strategies : Game Without Saddle Point, Principles of Dominance, Solution Methods of Games Without Saddle Point – Algebraic method, Arithemetic method, Marix method, Graphical method, Linear Programming method.

 

 Job sequencing : n jobs – machines, n jobs – K machines, 2 jobs – n machines.

 

Reference:

1        Swarup Kanti, Gupta P.K. and Man Mohan : Operations Research, Sultan Chand & Sons.

2        Taha, H.A. : Operations Research, Mac Millan publishing.

 

 

 

 


National P.G. College, Lucknow

SYLLABUS OF STATISTICS

SEMESTER  VI  ( B.Sc / B.A. )

 

( S 603 )

 

 

 

Paper III : Statistics  Practical :  Practicals based on Educational

 

Statistics, Vital Statistics, Demand Analysis and Operations Research

 

with reference to syllabus mentioned in S – 601 and S - 602.